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General Category => Harness Racing => Topic started by: Partywiththebigdog on July 26, 2018, 11:16:13 PM

Title: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Partywiththebigdog on July 26, 2018, 11:16:13 PM
Barnsdale singles his best bet tomorrow night, the brilliant Shower Play, who will face elders in the 2nd race, a NW16K L5 event.  I don’t think Roy will go all out here for the 22K purse.   She’s had a tough schedule already and has bigger dates starting with an August 19 Gold.  Hamilton puts her on top, too, and she probably will be singled a lot.  Solid bet against!

Race 1 for 2YO Trotters is interesting, as well.  Five of 7 are paid to the Wellwood, and looks like 3 & 4 will take all the money.  I think Keeling’s Smart As Hill, #6, is great value.  Superbly bred and any advancement here should dominate.  Saver on #2, Peck firster by Trixton, with Roy booked! 

Pick 5s starting with “34 with 3” will take up huge portion of the pool and I’ll be betting against it. 

Any other views?
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Field_In_Motion on July 26, 2018, 11:45:23 PM
Is barnsdale any good at his picks?
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: whiptherabbit on July 26, 2018, 11:54:09 PM
95% of the races I watch are WEG. With that being said I very seldom look at the analyst pics & for the most part pay little attention to them.

However, I do enjoy reading Hamiltons views & tidbits of relevant information he provides.
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Powerful Patricks Ghost on July 27, 2018, 12:07:17 AM
Just peaked but Exhilarated is sitting on a win in a field devoid of front enders.
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Field_In_Motion on July 27, 2018, 07:27:04 AM
I googled Garnet Barnsdale it states he is a public handicapper for DRF
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: pylon on July 27, 2018, 09:49:24 AM
95% of the races I watch are WEG. With that being said I very seldom look at the analyst pics & for the most part pay little attention to them.

However, I do enjoy reading Hamiltons views & tidbits of relevant information he provides.
he must spend most of his day researching trivia..lol... :)
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Equus Caballus on July 27, 2018, 02:43:55 PM
Shower play bet against agree

She is in pretty tough
As long as it isn’t a walk around the track
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: oh canada on July 27, 2018, 03:03:01 PM
95% of the races I watch are WEG. With that being said I very seldom look at the analyst pics & for the most part pay little attention to them.

However, I do enjoy reading Hamiltons views & tidbits of relevant information he provides.
Mike Hamilton is an interesting character and a good guy who loves the sport....met him when he arrived here from the West coast.
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: MR.DALRAE on July 27, 2018, 03:12:26 PM
Very interesting to say the least ,,,, and a class act
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: shuffledagain on July 27, 2018, 03:27:16 PM
P5: 4/3/2/all/3
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Calhoun on July 27, 2018, 04:06:32 PM
Barnsdale singles his best bet tomorrow night, the brilliant Shower Play, who will face elders in the 2nd race, a NW16K L5 event.  I don’t think Roy will go all out here for the 22K purse.   She’s had a tough schedule already and has bigger dates starting with an August 19 Gold.  Hamilton puts her on top, too, and she probably will be singled a lot.  Solid bet against!

Race 1 for 2YO Trotters is interesting, as well.  Five of 7 are paid to the Wellwood, and looks like 3 & 4 will take all the money.  I think Keeling’s Smart As Hill, #6, is great value.  Superbly bred and any advancement here should dominate.  Saver on #2, Peck firster by Trixton, with Roy booked! 

Pick 5s starting with “34 with 3” will take up huge portion of the pool and I’ll be betting against it. 

Any other views?

R1... I'd probably go with 6-5-2 in that order while tossing 3-4.  Maybe the 2 is ok off the one Qual but it was 22 days ago. 

R2... If I'm tossing the 3, I'm tossing the 4 as well for facing older.  I don't think the 2 is good enough.  Looks like 6-1-5 which is not especially clever.

I didn't look at the other races but if If I were to play the pick 5, my tickets would be based on this for the first 2 races:
R1:  A=6 B=5 C=2
R2:  A=6 B=1 C =5

I'd also definitely play the DD something like
6-6 for $35
6-1 for $25
5-6 for $25
5-1 for $15
on a $100 basis
 
To me, betting a p-5 based on tossing a likely 3/5 or less Shower Play in a 6-horse field plus going 2-3 deep in a 6-horse field in the first leg isn't a play I'd make unless I had VERY strong opinions in the other legs where I could make my ticket fairly cheap.

Basically, playing against a real short price I want a short ticket. 

If it is me, I'm playing the Double expecting I'm right about one of my two top selections and hoping I'm right about both or get lucky otherwise.

Best thread I've seen here in months.  Good luck.
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: whiptherabbit on July 27, 2018, 04:44:13 PM
I totally agree, Hamilton is a great guy who loves the game  tmbz1
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Artsplace on July 27, 2018, 06:01:21 PM
race 2
Shower Play's slowest back half last 4 races is 54.1. Now shes in a 6 horse field. Plus she was off a month last race Wont be worse than 2nd guaranteed.No reason to believe that Exhilarated wont give it up late again, plus shes dropping a win line tnite. Carm will not have her at her best tonight. Action Matjesty is the only one in here that I think can beat Shower Play.Action is starting to find those 26 and 27 last quarters she was famous for last year. The only way the 6 will be dangerous is if she just sits quietly at the back until the stretch. Shes a 1 trick pony. . Im lovin the 3-2 xacta box with a cover xacta of 3-6.
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Powerful Patricks Ghost on July 27, 2018, 06:57:48 PM
Have to agree with Calhoun on the play against on Shower Play, especially since this a bad pick 5 sequence.  Two 7 horse fields and 6 horse fields cuts down big time on the combinations too. Don't think I'll be playing this one tonight.  I appreciate what Artsplace has to say about Exhilarated but I think this one is playing catch me if you can. Switches from blind to blinkers too tonight. Right now 3rd choice in DD with the 3/3 combo paying $4 bucks right now.

Card is pretty bad from a betting perspective. GL to everyone playing.
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: whiptherabbit on July 27, 2018, 08:12:47 PM
Best of luck guys! Card is worth watching but not betting, dont like anything...
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Powerful Patricks Ghost on July 27, 2018, 09:35:29 PM
Didn't realize WAIKIKI HANOVER was in here. Betting back in race 11 in a terrible field. Taking anything about 6/1.
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Powerful Patricks Ghost on July 27, 2018, 09:36:43 PM
Also Whip, did you realize HP PANDORA is in the last? I thought you liked it as a bet back?
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Equus Caballus on July 27, 2018, 09:39:59 PM
jan is not going to win the  next race
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: whiptherabbit on July 27, 2018, 10:01:42 PM
wasn't overly impressed last week, mare was very hot. I'm sure they'll fire off the wings tonight and the price will be minuscule, it's a pass for myself...
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Indian24 on July 27, 2018, 10:11:54 PM
If there ever race I know under lightning delay now but shit this card has been dragging ass.
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Equus Caballus on July 27, 2018, 10:13:07 PM
If there ever race I know under lightning delay now but shit this card has been dragging ass.

yes
i cant understand why they were dragging it out when they knew the rain was coming
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Indian24 on July 27, 2018, 10:16:24 PM
Exactly guess as good as mine  :P
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Indian24 on July 27, 2018, 10:25:44 PM
Bombs away to much time for them to figure things out
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: stanetelman on July 27, 2018, 10:32:57 PM
Clearly the 7th race was what is known as a "Drivers Room Special"
42-1 over a 12-1 in an 8 horse field!    :1 :1 :1 :1
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Equus Caballus on July 27, 2018, 10:35:39 PM
Clearly the 7th race was what is known as a "Drivers Room Special"
42-1 over a 12-1 in an 8 horse field!    :1 :1 :1 :1

 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3 ngc3
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: Equus Caballus on July 27, 2018, 11:41:54 PM
race 11

textbook reason why saftic is a fucking anchorman
Title: Re: Friday Mohawk - Bet against “34 w 3” in first 2 legs of P5??
Post by: MR.DALRAE on July 28, 2018, 04:24:58 PM
race 11

textbook reason why saftic is a fucking anchorman

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