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Thoroughbred Racing / Re: Travers
« Last post by dougie on August 25, 2026, 09:43:41 PM »This one goes out the the gamblers, but you guys do with this info what ya wantInteresting theory. I think Napoleon could be the early pacesetter in this race. My Longshot win by Baby Vino in the slop in the Haskell probably won't be repeated. Unless we get a lot of rain there. Renegade will love some quick fractions and will be flying at the end. I think Emerging Market is over his head against this field. I'm always worried about The Puma. His fitness is always a question for me. If he's 100% sound, Castellano, might be in the number. He fits if ready. Leading Change will be tested with this deep field. He's undefeated. But only two starts. Pratt going to Sea Strike for Brown is an interesting angle. He'll be well bet off the change. Can he win? Maybe. He finished 5th in an allowance race last out. Golden Tempo will be the chalk at post time. I think he's the class of the race and if ready, he's your winner. Silent Tactic is trained by one of the smartest trainers in the game, Mark Casse. His owner Mark Oxley, is a sharp owner and together, they always are competitive with their entries. An injury kept him out of the Triple Crown. He's a stalker and should be up with the leaders early. Saez will have to rush this horse up early. And lastly, my favorite Maiden of all time, Ocelli, always has a shot in any race. If big bettors don't use him on the ticket, it's at their own peril. He's as game as they come.
I read an article the other day, can't remember where, that..
13 of the last 16 Travers winners including 10 in a row won their previous race
That wipes out half the field
That leaves..
Golden Tempo
Renegade
Sea Strike
Baby Vino
Leading Change
Furthermore 12 of the last 16 winners prepped in NY
That eliminates
Baby Vino
Leading Change
That leaves
Golden Tempo, Renegade and Sea Strike
Pick your winner from one of these 3, and go from there
I know, not really earth shattering
I am leaning towards Sea Strike, a monster in the making and gets Flavian, who opted for this horse over Emerging Market. He has the highest beyer in the field. JMHO

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