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Most people dont know about the 3rd quarter gut, this is when a very fast 3rd quarter tires the horse, regardless of how slow the half was. So lets say a 1:00 half but a 28 flat 3rd quarter parked without cover which is then equal to a 27 flat 3rd quarter. If its faster than what it usually goes it can cause the horse to cave in -in the stretch. I call it the 3rd quarter gut-top drivers know about it ofcourse but many lower ones dont.
It's called bottoming out a field! Many races are won in this manner and just as many lost too. See George Nap's drives when leading at the 1/2 mile pole!
Whatever you want to call it ... so what? Are you going to predict that's what's going to happen with any degree of certainty? How is this info going to help anyone in any way? Nonsense topic.
All you are saying is that a horse that goes a fast 3rd quarter 1st over and gets tired has a legitimate excuse for next time. Duh ... That's a handicapping factor that we all learned the first two weeks of betting. This ain't the kiddie game dude.
I was told a long time ago that a lot more races are lost in the first quarter than in the last.