Author Topic: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series  (Read 28187 times)

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PucksnHorses

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #90 on: April 17, 2023, 02:00:57 PM »
Dunn will be all systems go tonight with Tattoo Artist, they won't catch him.

Harness racer

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #91 on: April 17, 2023, 02:09:22 PM »
Dunn will be all systems go tonight with Tattoo Artist, they won't catch him.

He will puke in the lane yet again.  Something isn't right with him.

The Thorn

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #92 on: April 17, 2023, 02:22:37 PM »
He won after the first time he puked and burned a bunch of bettors money at 1/5.  He does have to try here and I'm sure they wouldn't race him if he was that bad.  Long season and no reason to burn him up now if he's unsound. His last race was fine, he didn't try and still finished in 27.2 race timed in 50.3.  I wouldn't count him out tonight especially as he has to win or finish 2nd to have a chance for the big money next week.

Senator Blutarsky

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #93 on: April 17, 2023, 03:09:08 PM »
This is the Plan is a logical choice and I think he will be 2nd favorite. 

Art will take too much money and he is not really even a wicked gate speed horse and only needs to show up to be in the final. 

All of his best performances down under before his leg injuries were 1st over.  He would beat up on weaker with front running scores but in most of the Grade 1s he did not have the gate speed of a lot of his competitors and would win 1st over.  He even won a 1 mile and 5/8th grade one race parked the entire trip with more than the last mile in the deathseat and he still drew away late.

If anybody's interested here is a link to all of Lochinvar Arts races down under

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/horse-search/?horseId=804572

Great website, Thanks bro!

I'm all over the 6/2345 in Yonkers 3rd but also a slight hedge on the 2345 superfecta.  6 horse field and I smell value, could turn out to be plop though.     ngc3

You see working together here at "college" we put all our heads together, despite who everyone thinks resides in them, no matter, and we make way better than an ass combined.  Good luck tonight, I'm only down on the 3rd at Yonkers and 12th at Mohawk with #1, and like some other long too there with the 5 and 10.   ;D
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warrawee

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #94 on: April 17, 2023, 06:51:25 PM »
Jimmy is scratched.  Opens up a little.

Senator Blutarsky

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #95 on: April 17, 2023, 07:57:17 PM »
Who says the 1 has to be there at all.  Best strategy for the 1 zing out there in 12 seconds for the first 1/8 and secure a top or pocket position in 28 for the first quarter.  The way I see the race, TITH plan leaves, Lochinvar Art A ends up sitting an open pocket because he punched his final ticket into the final, no enthusiasm to chase TITH plan who wins in 150 3/5 or 4/5 w2w, and 2,3,4,5 flying for the rest.  Lochinvar Art A could still run a 151 and change mile and finish 6th.

Is their money to be made here?  6/2345, I think so.   ;D

Redeemed myself on that one called it and entire race call just about - 150 4/5, w2w, win and exacta and lost not a dime on the 1.  This Is The Plan - He's Back!  ;D   
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onabrake

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #96 on: April 17, 2023, 08:03:30 PM »
Lochinvar will be a long shot from any post in the final, even more so if Tritton is in the bike. The horse cannot get off the gate, has no brush ability and only won the early legs in weaker divisions and slower times. Completely exposed tonight at a ridiculous short price. If they want any hope next week Bartlett should be taking the seat.

The Thorn

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #97 on: April 17, 2023, 08:09:45 PM »
You are probably right that he will not do well in the final but Lauren has nothing to do with it.
He never had gate speed but does have a wicked brush when right

The horse is on the comeback trail after leg injuries. He never even won a race in Australia after his injuries which forced him to miss a year and have limited races when he came back.  He was brought over here because he bled and the owner didn't want him to just be an overnighter and here he can use Lasix.

Yes the horse is overhyped just like Lazarus was ... same situation ... not the same champion horse after the injuries. 

Senator Blutarsky

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #98 on: April 17, 2023, 08:18:38 PM »
Lochinvar will be a long shot from any post in the final, even more so if Tritton is in the bike. The horse cannot get off the gate, has no brush ability and only won the early legs in weaker divisions and slower times. Completely exposed tonight at a ridiculous short price. If they want any hope next week Bartlett should be taking the seat.

I look forward to handicapping that race, they want to breed that thing too, maybe geldings have an edge there as well. I'll keep an open mind but, TITP, has rounded into form.  It'll take a sub 150 to win and this thing can do it from a trip, an inside post (maybe Burke will palm the 1 in the draw, do they still do that?  ngc3), and get another 1.5 seconds better than offing the whole mile on his own.  It's old news, 2 yrs ago but a 147 3/5 on a 1/2 mile this mofo has done and it's as great as Bulldog's world record on a mile oval!   ;D 
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GlenMidby

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #99 on: April 17, 2023, 08:28:43 PM »
TITP needed that win to make it into the $100,000 consolation.  I don't think he can make it into the final no matter what happens the rest of the night. 

In race 6, the 4,6, and 7 are in the final no matter what.  I think Ray's Splash Brother (apparently he is eligible) leaves and sits a trip, with the only one's capable of coming to get him (4, 6 and 7) not needing to be 1st or 2nd.   

The Thorn

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #100 on: April 17, 2023, 08:36:06 PM »
This is the Plan is not eligible for the final no matter what.  I gave all of the point information on an earlier page of this thread.  It doesn't matter what happens in the next race the final two spots will be decided in the last race where five of the horses have a chance and Hellabaloo is already in no matter where he finishes.

Senator Blutarsky

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #101 on: April 17, 2023, 08:38:07 PM »
TITP needed that win to make it into the $100,000 consolation.  I don't think he can make it into the final no matter what happens the rest of the night. 

In race 6, the 4,6, and 7 are in the final no matter what.  I think Ray's Splash Brother (apparently he is eligible) leaves and sits a trip, with the only one's capable of coming to get him (4, 6 and 7) not needing to be 1st or 2nd.   

That may entirely true, I haven't been following that, and if you look in the thoroughbred forum, I did do that on the last race prep race for the derby.  I should keep better track of that, it effects strategies and what some members here said to that these legs should be non-betting has some weight.  I need another couple of hours a day invested, ya know it's gotta happen.

Again, last year TITP had some very bad luck, some driver error too running against the best.  He got jerked off quite a bit and finally when spots opened he didn't know if he was coming or going.  I want to see TITP on a mile, freshened up and see if he could pull off a great campaign at 8. tmbz1   
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #102 on: April 17, 2023, 08:43:30 PM »
This is the Plan is not eligible for the final no matter what.  I gave all of the point information on an earlier page of this thread.  It doesn't matter what happens in the next race the final two spots will be decided in the last race where five of the horses have a chance and Hellabaloo is already in no matter where he finishes.

You did some great work there Thorn, copied and pasted below here too is what you said.  Thanks.   tmbz1

"Final leg tonight.  Here's the points info for the final.  First division Lochinvar Art is in as long as he is not scratched, no one else has a chance. Second division has the top four points earners Idealsomemagic, Jimmy Freight, Backstreet Shadow and Funonthebeach. They are all in no matter what and just have to race to stay tight tonight. Jimmy Freight will probably go off odds on as he got the rail. The third division has all the drama. Its a bit complicated but basically its like this. Hellabaloo is in unless he is scratched. The final two spots depend on the following.  Hemsworth and None Bettor have to win to get in, no other way for them. If Tattoo Artist wins he's in, if he comes in 2nd he can still get in depending where Leonidas and Covered Bridge finish. If Leonidas beats Covered Bridge or finishes 1st or 2nd he's in. If Covered Bridge finishes 1st or 2nd he's in, but I wonder if Ford and Gillis would rather have him in the Consolation since he's their #2 horse,  as Alexander seems to have done by not entering American Courage tonight. He had enough points to get in with a good finish tonight."
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The Thorn

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #103 on: April 17, 2023, 08:47:46 PM »
Thanks but you're word vomiting again.  ;D  ... and by the way we don't redboard on this forum but we will pass on that as you are new.

Senator Blutarsky

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Re: The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series
« Reply #104 on: April 17, 2023, 08:55:40 PM »
Thanks but you're word vomiting again.  ;D  ... and by the way we don't redboard on this forum but we will pass on that as you are new.

I'll never tout, mention a like on a horse again without what I did, which was in this case throw the 1/2 chalk out, picked my horse, what it will do "w2w", and the exact predicted time of finish down to 1/5 of a second in 2 options, and all was done hours before the race - and it ain't redboarding.   ;D

Reboarding - A mildly derogatory phrase used to describe someone who claims to have selected the winner, but always after the race.

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