The 2023 George Morton Levy (aka Borgata) Open FFA Pacing Series

[Senator Blutarsky]

     

BINGO

Yes, he almost never bends his knees.  It results in a longer stride and being lighter on his feet.  Sometimes all the other horses look like their in a marching band.  It's the secret to his success and why it doesn't matter who his trainer is. He just glides along whether he's going fast or slow. It's his natural flawless and beautiful gait.

No billion dollar prize but thanks for playing.

If I was the standardbred and you my driver it took you this entire contest - of whipping and slashing, plugs popped in the first turn, shaking the bike up down, hitting me in the butt with a syringe full of of of pcp, and a good kick in the can as well to get us under the wire First.  I'm ready for the farm!

  

[wizardofoz]

RACE 9 - Yonkers Raceway - NY - April 24, 2023
Conditions: MGM BORGATA PACE FINAL
Gait: Pace Purse: 511,000 Class: BOR FINAL Distance: 1 Mile
 
PP    Horse   Med   2023 North America YTD    Driver    Trainer   ML   Claim
    Equip   Sts    W    P    S    Time    Earnings         Stable   Odds   Price
1    Covered Bridge   L    13     5     1     4     1:50.2H     $126240     Tyler Buter    Jeffrey Gillis   5-2   
2    This Is The Plan   L    5     1     1     0     1:50.4H     $40000     Yannick Gingras    Ron Burke   2-1   
3    Idealsomemagic A   L    12     8     2     0     1:51.2H     $147875     George Brennan    Cory Stratton   6-1   
4    Leonidas A   L    8     3     2     2     1:51.2H     $96320     Austin Siegelman    Matthew Medeiros   9-2   
5    Hellabalou   L    7     3     2     0     1:50.1F     $71150     Joe Bongiorno    Ron Burke   10-1   
6    Funatthebeach N   L    12     6     1     1     1:50.1H     $135760     Jordan Stratton    Jeffrey Gillis   20-1   
7    Lochinvar Art A   L    7     5     1     1     1:50.1M     $112250     Lauren Tritton    Shane Tritton   8-1   
8    Backstreet Shadow   L    13     5     0     6     1:49.3H     $131670 Matt Kakaley Travis Alexander 20-1   

[wizardofoz]

Austin Siegelman has a good shot at winning the final on the 4 horse.  Lochvinar Art is now a rank outsider after a nice start in the series.

[Harness racer]

I agree.  Haven't seen his best in this series yet.

[Senator Blutarsky]

1- Covered Bridge  5-2 7-5
2- This Is The Plan  2-1 1-1
3- Idealsomemagic  6-1 12-1
4- Leonidas A  9-2 20-1
5- Hellabalou  10-1 50-1
6- Funatthebeach  20-1 35-1
7- Lochinvar Art A  8-1 25-1
8- Backstreet Shadow  20-1 4-1

I fixed the odds from the ML full retard to my 1/2 retard liking.
This is all based on a fast track, final time will be 148 3/5 - 149 4/5.

More to come... 

[Anakin]

Backstreet Shadow has improved since joining the Alexander barn. It will be interesting to see how he fares out of the detention barn.

     

BINGO

Yes, he almost never bends his knees.  It results in a longer stride and being lighter on his feet.  Sometimes all the other horses look like their in a marching band.  It's the secret to his success and why it doesn't matter who his trainer is. He just glides along whether he's going fast or slow. It's his natural flawless and beautiful gait.

No billion dollar prize but thanks for playing.

[augustaandy]

if there were ever a race for the new track record, this is it!

[Senator Blutarsky]

if there were ever a race for the new track record, this is it!

I wish too....even if fast, looks like a cold front coming in.  Maybe 50, or sub 50 degrees temperatures. 

To make it more competitive would be to see Dexter Dunn fill in for Lauren Tritton in the sulky on Lochinvar Art A.  They all do come from the land down unda, and what's 5% to lose on nothing, compared to horse whom if fertile can breed and needs more than classic wins, but flashy times to go with them.  The outcome in this race for that HORSE looks bleak otherwise. 

[The Thorn]

I'll agree that's a horrible morning line.  The 1 and 2 are too low and no way should Idealsomemagic have a higher line than Leonidas, not to mention the absurdness of putting last years winner at 20 to one when he is in great form and has a helper to press the pace.

This is my opinion of the proper ml ... do I think it will go off this way .. No . nothing ever does.

Covered Bridge 9/2 
This is the Plan  3
Idealsomemagic A 5/2
Leonidas A         5
Hellabaloo        20
FunatthebeachA  6
Lochinvar Art     15
Backstreet Shadow 8

[Senator Blutarsky]

I'll agree that's a horrible morning line.  The 1 and 2 are too low and no way should Idealsomemagic have a higher line than Leonidas, not to mention the absurdness of putting last years winner at 20 to one when he is in great form and has a helper to press the pace.

This is my opinion of the proper ml ... do I think it will go off this way .. No . nothing ever does.

Covered Bridge 9/2 
This is the Plan  3
Idealsomemagic A 5/2
Leonidas A         5
Hellabaloo        20
FunatthebeachA  6
Lochinvar Art     15
Backstreet Shadow 8

 

Lochinvar Art A with Dexter Dunn sure within range odds, but with LT, goodnight gracie.

Since you and I are so diametrically opposed, I'm re-posting mine for side by side comparison with yours:

1- Covered Bridge  5-2 7-5
2- This Is The Plan  2-1 1-1
3- Idealsomemagic  6-1 12-1
4- Leonidas A  9-2 20-1
5- Hellabalou  10-1 50-1
6- Funatthebeach  20-1 35-1
7- Lochinvar Art A  8-1 25-1
8- Backstreet Shadow  20-1 4-1

How much (in trillions) to put to place / show on Covered Bridge to bankrupt MGM with a negative pool, lol, horse came down the stretch like a scary monster in a horror movie with 2-3 seconds in reserve.  Fucking other horses might break from his wind chill and thunder lmao.   

[The Thorn]

I wasn't comparing my opinion with yours, just saying I disagree with the person who makes the morning line but now I will say this.  By your math (not including takeout )the 1 or 2 will win this race over 90 times in a hundred and the combination of Idealsomemagic, Leonidas, and Funatthebeach would about one in ten.  I don't think that is correct. 

If you want to predict the actual final odds be my guest as well as how you think the race will be run.  I'm sure you will anyway before this thread is done. 

[GlenMidby]

Lochinvar Art A with Dexter Dunn sure within range odds, but with LT, goodnight gracie.

If it wasn't LT, methinks it would have been YR's many time leading driver, Jason Bartlett; the latter drives much of Shane Tritton's stock.  I thought for sure that Tritton would name Jason for the final for obvious reasons. 

BARTLETT, JASON (leading driver last 12 months at YR) - UDR .412 - WIN% 26

[Senator Blutarsky]

I wasn't comparing my opinion with yours, just saying I disagree with the person who makes the morning line but now I will say this.  By your math (not including takeout )the 1 or 2 will win this race over 90 times in a hundred and the combination of Idealsomemagic, Leonidas, and Funatthebeach would about one in ten.  I don't think that is correct. 

If you want to predict the actual final odds be my guest as well as how you think the race will be run.  I'm sure you will anyway before this thread is done.

When the race goes off look at my odds and yours, and with the exception of the 8 as he may not be 4-1, some folks might think that was a mistake on the second backstretch run as he will be gliding forward on it.  1 and 2 are solid, will be like ridiculous 1-1 co-favs, 8 can run all day down the back stretch and 128 look solid.  The 3, nice horse love Brennan, doesn't look like he could disappoint, but WILL, and TITP only 5 races this year, Covered Bridge didn't need the whip even though a couple of taps when she 4-5 wide and swept like they were standing still.

May not be betting value so one must resign themselves to cold numbers tris, sups, again, 1,2,8 is my intended direction and minor respect for 4 and 3 for sups, 7 if driver change.  The end - until race day and Irish eyes will be smiling...from connections to track owners!   

[The Thorn]

So through all that word vomit you seem to be saying that that was your final odds prediction not your morning line while I said that mine was morning line only and that they would not close that way.

Since that was not a final odds prediction there is nothing to compare.

[Senator Blutarsky]

So through all that word vomit you seem to be saying that that was your final odds prediction not your morning line while I said that mine was morning line only and that they would not close that way.

Since that was not a final odds prediction there is nothing to compare.

What do you think ML odds represent, the odds of who should be what and indicate the outcome as well.  "Word vomit", I dunno I speed read but can read and write, are you the lobby for the stupid.  Just a couple of words and or emojis, sure when appropriate.

If you (anyone here) don't like reading (or can't), please ignore me, but there will be intelligence.  No child left behind!