Author Topic: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!  (Read 4559 times)

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Senator Blutarsky

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"Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« on: May 08, 2023, 01:03:45 PM »
"Fast Food" racing ya know any ol' piece of shit race in harness or t-breds, anywheres.

This suggestion is not intended to deter what you want to do this week, where and what to bet, type bets, horses and situations you follow.

My suggestion is in lieu of or in addition to that, we try the following here:

1- We choose Small fields as short as 4 and no larger than 6 horses.
2- Only seek out tri and sup cold bets or very small combo no more than 2.
3- Tri's & Sup's from min of: Tri .20, .50, 1.00 and Sups .10, .20, .50, $1.
4- Contribute as many small field races from any harness and t-bred track.
5- Try not do this live but suggest races ahead of time, and if live because of scratches as much time to study the race and formalize a betting decision.

Why? = don't you say like a $4.80 sup payout on a min. $0.10 investment, or $24 tri payout on a min. $0.50 investment.  Betting cold in those scenarios it's 48-1 odds.  What you bet as a min. on your cold or small combo is your comfort.  Sharpening our handicapping by trying to eliminate a horse or two in an already short field that still allows tris and possibly sups too, focusing on precision and tightening up as well, and not risking a whole hell of a lot of money, and the same amount of time!   ;D 

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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2023, 01:38:15 PM »
These tracks (below) tomorrow ALL scheduled to be FAST, and ALL have FREE pps you can find at the track host website or online.  And they are all 5-6 horse fields for now, fucking YUMMY!   ;D


ALL EST TIME:

Thistledown (t-bred) (120pm) Race 2-

Saratoga (Harness) (140pm) Race 6-

Saratoga (Harness) (200pm) Race 7-

Saratoga (Harness) (220pm) Race 8-

Will Rogers (t-breds) (235pm) Race 2-

Will Rogers (t-breds) (305pm) Race 3-

Will Rogers (t-breds) (337pm) Race 4-

Will Rogers (t-breds) (412pm) Race 5-

Western Fair (Harness) (613pm) Race 2-

GL EV1!   tmbz1



« Last Edit: May 08, 2023, 01:47:20 PM by Senator Blutarsky »
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Calhoun

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2023, 02:19:25 PM »
  Betting cold in those scenarios it's 48-1 odds. 
Please show your math re "48-1 odds."

6 horses ... trifecta ... 6 x 5 x 4 = 120 possibles.  So, I believe it's EVEN BETTER than you suggested.

Any I like your idea a lot.  I'm especially excited for the opportunities 4 horse field Superfectas may offer.

It's got to be better than betting Northfield without a program.

Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2023, 02:23:32 PM »
Please show your math re "48-1 odds."

6 horses ... trifecta ... 6 x 5 x 4 = 120 possibles.  So, I believe it's EVEN BETTER than you suggested.

Any I like your idea a lot.  I'm especially excited for the opportunities 4 horse field Superfectas may offer.

It's got to be better than betting Northfield without a program.

If I bet a COLD 10 cent straight superfecta 1234 or .50 trifecta 123 and it comes in and pays $4.80 for the super and $24 for the tri that is 48-1 odds paid on the initial investment.

That's how I explained it, and using that as an example!  Thank you!   ;D
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Unclejerry

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2023, 04:52:50 PM »
Scioto Downs Opens Thursday, great purses, nice pools, full fields, and Speed. All new grandstand and many improvements, no need for M1 cheap dog races. See everyone Thursday evening for Opening night 5:50 post.
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2023, 05:03:07 PM »
Some 6 horse field payouts today:

Saratoga Harness Race 2 Results - 2145
Payout Tri .50 = $6.45 (12.8-1 odds)
Payout Sup.10 = $5.82 (58.2-1 odds)

Monticello Harness Race 1 Results - 3426
Payout Tri .50 = $159 (318-1 odds)
Payout Sup.10 = $100.20 (1002-1 odds)

Monticello Harness Race 2 Results - 3415
Payout Tri .50 = $41.75 (83.5-1 odds)
Payout Sup.10 = $25.10 (251-1 odds)

Thistledown Race 2 Results - 3124
Payout Tri 1.00 = $295.70 (295.7-1 odds)
Payout Sup 1.00 = $792.40 (792.4-1 odds)

Thistledown Race 6 Results - 5142
Payout Tri 1.00 = $74.30 (74.3-1 odds)
Payout Sup 1.00 = $203.30 (203.3-1 odds)

Handicap small fields, try to eliminate one to two horses, then bet ice cold (straight) tri's and supers or small combos ( 2 combinations).  Not easy being precise but can you imagine risking $10 on a small super combo - example $5 super part wheel 1/2/34/34 it comes in for $.10 cent payout and pays $12.  $12 x .10= 120x$5= $600

$uper Fucking Amazing, can you wrap your head around it!!!!!  ;D
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #6 on: May 08, 2023, 05:09:39 PM »
Scioto Downs Opens Thursday, great purses, nice pools, full fields, and Speed. All new grandstand and many improvements, no need for M1 cheap dog races. See everyone Thursday evening for Opening night 5:50 post.

That's what this strategy tries to avoid, full fields.

Small field, elimination of horses and ice cold or small combo tris and supers!

If you go that route, GL UNC!   tmbz1

This week I'm doing this and if any small fields at Scioto I'll be there with you!   ;D
« Last Edit: May 08, 2023, 05:12:44 PM by Senator Blutarsky »
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The Thorn

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #7 on: May 08, 2023, 05:51:49 PM »

Handicap small fields, try to eliminate one to two horses, then bet ice cold (straight) tri's and supers or small combos ( 2 combinations). 

Been doing this for the last few years ... best spots for ice cold, especially tri's is usually the first month or two of 2 yr old racing where there are huge differences in ability.

Lots of spots in some steaks races too.

Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #8 on: May 08, 2023, 06:03:32 PM »
Been doing this for the last few years ... best spots for ice cold, especially tri's is usually the first month or two of 2 yr old racing where there are huge differences in ability.

Lots of spots in some steaks races too.

Thanks for the share Thorny, appreciation.   tmbz1

I follow horses, add, delete, so that will be something separate, along with maiden special weight, stake races, which this strategy is applicable in the latter, 10 horse stake field ex. try to eliminate 4 or so horses.

Explaining math to the choir (here), muchless the detailing step by step in the prevailing rules, I lost some, it requires READING LOL a NO NO, but again glad you get it and implement it - it's mathematical, logical and seeks value!  Cold exactas too - small fields, handicapped, horses in the 1/2 spots at long odds!   ;D
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #9 on: May 09, 2023, 11:19:16 AM »
These tracks (below) tomorrow ALL scheduled to be FAST, and ALL have FREE pps you can find at the track host website or online.  And they are all 5-6 horse fields for now, fucking YUMMY!   ;D


ALL EST TIME:

Thistledown (t-bred) (120pm) Race 2- $1 Tri and $1 Sup 5/2/16/16 = Total $4
I'm still feeling racing analysis burnout, I managed to get through one race and bet for today and that's it lol!   ;D

Saratoga (Harness) (140pm) Race 6-

Saratoga (Harness) (200pm) Race 7-

Saratoga (Harness) (220pm) Race 8-

Will Rogers (t-breds) (235pm) Race 2-

Will Rogers (t-breds) (305pm) Race 3-

Will Rogers (t-breds) (337pm) Race 4-

Will Rogers (t-breds) (412pm) Race 5-

Western Fair (Harness) (613pm) Race 2-

GL EV1!   tmbz1
« Last Edit: May 09, 2023, 11:51:29 AM by Senator Blutarsky »
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #10 on: May 09, 2023, 01:33:00 PM »
Thistledown (t-bred) (120pm) Race 2- $1 Tri and $1 Sup 5/2/16/16 = Total $4

Outcome, my 5 choice did win, my 3/4 choice ran 2nd, and my 2nd choice ran 3rd, the 1 my 3/4 choice ran 5th.  Payouts for 5-6-2-4:

$1 TRI 5-6-2 $52.60 (52.6-1 odds)
$1 SUP 5-6-2-4 $178 (178-1 odds)

My budget for the week:  $10-$4 (today's loss)= $6 Balance

Sticking with this strategy, and trying with better quality 5-6 horse fields going forward.   tmbz1
« Last Edit: May 09, 2023, 01:36:33 PM by Senator Blutarsky »
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #11 on: May 10, 2023, 12:51:15 PM »
5-6 horse fields I'm focusing on today TRIS and SUPS - Both Tracks estimated to be - FAST!!!

Racing between 550pm - 831 pm tonight (EST)!, free pp's available at:

https://pennhorseracing.com/wager-warriors/
https://www.westernfairdistrict.com/raceway

Free race replays available track host websites, and other! 

Western Fair Races - 1,2,3,6,7,8
Penn National Races 1,3

GL ev1!   tmbz1
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #12 on: May 10, 2023, 03:34:20 PM »
5-6 horse fields I'm focusing on today TRIS and SUPS - Both Tracks estimated to be - FAST!!!

Racing between 550pm - 831 pm tonight (EST)!, free pp's available at:

https://pennhorseracing.com/wager-warriors/
https://www.westernfairdistrict.com/raceway

Free race replays available track host websites, and other! 

Western Fair Races - 1,2,3,6,7,8
Penn National Races 1,3

GL ev1!   tmbz1

Wagers in!  GL EV1!  tmbz1

Western Fair:

Race 1- TRI 641, SUP 641A
Race 2- TRI 345
Race 3- TRI 4/2/13, SUP 4/2/13/13
Race 6- TRI 6/2/13, SUP 6/2/13/13
Race 7- TRI 532, SUP 532A
Race 8

Penn National:

Race 1- TRI 1/2/36, SUP, 1/2/36/36
Race 3- TRI 25A
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #13 on: May 10, 2023, 05:47:38 PM »
Wagers in!  GL EV1!  tmbz1

Western Fair:

Race 1- TRI 641, SUP 641A(4 scr) TRI 615, SUP 615A
Race 2- TRI 345
Race 3- TRI 4/2/13, SUP 4/2/13/13
Race 6- TRI 6/2/13, SUP 6/2/13/13
Race 7- TRI 532, SUP 532A
Race 8

Penn National:

Race 1- TRI 1/2/36, SUP, 1/2/36/36
Race 3- TRI 25A
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Senator Blutarsky

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Re: "Fast Food" Racing Suggestion for this week ending 5/14!
« Reply #14 on: May 10, 2023, 08:20:26 PM »
Results for the week $10-4-5.90= .10 (and I'm going to continue on tomorrow adding another $10 to the budget!)

Great exercise in improving my handicapping, being burned out and tired, now revitalized, with the Thistle down race, that makes it 4 on top winners out of 8 races chosen.  When you're seeking to bet cold your mind switches to be more precise, small fields of course help!

Western Fair:

Race 1- TRI 641, SUP 641A(4 scr) TRI 615, SUP 615A RESULT 6253
Race 2- TRI 345 RESULT 324
Race 3- TRI 4/2/13, SUP 4/2/13/13  RESULT 3412
Race 6- TRI 6/2/13, SUP 6/2/13/13 RESULT 1623
Race 7- TRI 532, SUP 532A RESULT 6532
Race 8

Penn National:

Race 1- TRI 1/2/36, SUP, 1/2/36/36 RESULT 3651
Race 3- TRI 25A RESULT 214
« Last Edit: May 10, 2023, 08:24:35 PM by Senator Blutarsky »
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