Author Topic: What's the fascination with "beaten favorites"?  (Read 991 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

gogasgoboom

  • Top Claimer
  • ***
  • Posts: 154
  • DEPORT TRUMP
What's the fascination with "beaten favorites"?
« on: June 02, 2023, 05:57:53 PM »
Often hear handicappers pointing out a horse was a beaten favorite last time out. Anyone factor that into their selections?
MAKE AMERICA GO AWAY

shotgunner

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 620
Re: What's the fascination with "beaten favorites"?
« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2023, 06:24:46 PM »
It’s more context of the field they faced previously. I factor it in, but it’s not super important.

Brkn Headpole

  • Stakes Horse
  • *****
  • Posts: 894
Re: What's the fascination with "beaten favorites"?
« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2023, 06:26:09 PM »
Couple different ways to look at it.

1. Do they tend to be overbet alot and burn a lot of cash?
 Not a horse to go back to.

2. Should the horse have been favorite last start or did it take alot of "non public cash"
ie The connections expected a big effort and either got overraced or wasn't as good as expected. I see alot of those horses come back to win the 2nd week after expecting better things.

 

shout out

Refresh History
  • Sound off !
  • Unclejerry: R6 @ Yr Prime Tri pays $184,50
    April 21, 2025, 08:45:14 PM
  • Unclejerry: Prime picks the Super R5 at Yr for $120.30
    April 21, 2025, 08:24:43 PM
  • Unclejerry: Jerrys Picks and Prime return #118.50
    April 21, 2025, 06:58:27 PM
  • Unclejerry: The announcer at Yonkers has a hair lisp
    April 21, 2025, 06:53:51 PM
  • Unclejerry: Prime Players got $95.35 in the 6th
    April 20, 2025, 08:51:36 PM
  • Unclejerry: R2 Prime Players got $8.30 on the exacta
    April 20, 2025, 07:29:57 PM
  • Unclejerry: Remember Jerry's Prime bets are cheap, Bets range from $24 to $100, so if your not a gambler play your $2 bets elsewhere,
    April 20, 2025, 07:17:06 PM
  • Unclejerry: R1 Prime Players got $52.70 back on Exacta
    April 20, 2025, 07:10:58 PM
SimplePortal 2.3.7 © 2008-2025, SimplePortal