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I think people see a few things-----one, the last referendum was designed to fail. It was a sacrificial lamb and part of a negotiated package. Ask citizens of NJ whether or not they want a casino outside AC, or ask them whether or not they want a casino at the Meadowlands, and I think you will get two different answers. Maybe not enough to pass, but still different. Two, and what may change that is when casinos are opened in downstate NY. Get casinos there, whether it be Yonkers, Aqueduct, NYC, the Hudson River, whatever, and that changes a lot. Personally, I think you'll see at least one casino outside AC in the next 15 years.
A ballot question was asked (want to say 5 years ago) and people voted was like 80% to no casino in northern NJ. Roads are disaster, people here are getting taxed to death, I don’t see a casino happening in northern NJ and I’m not sure why Gural thinks this is going to change.
If there really is a simple, linear, break-even number, nobody is going to know what it is-----only what Gural says it is. I don't think it's simply about $3mm. Statistics don't lie, but statisticians do, and in the harness game you can give me decimal-based numbers all you want, but handle is trending down. It may be a slow decline, but it's a decline. Countless reasons. There is no harness track in North America that is going to buck that trend. Nobody is in a position to. The sport and industry is not in a position to. All the efforts, longer races, shorter races, promos, food truck festivals, zebra races, and so on.....will soon be rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic.....until the Meadowlands gets other revenue streams.....and Gural is focused on a casino. He should be. That's his solution. If the referendum passes, and they give the casino to someone else, Gural ain't no dummy. He's smart. He will weigh getting his check for the unamortized cost of what he spent (and potentially closing), versus whatever revenue, subsidy, etc., deal he would make. MGM and Genting may have an edge in NY, but Gural has to hope they get the casino license for downstate. If he claims he's losing money now, what's the point of arguing and to what end. Anyone and everyone's opinion, bitching and moaning, accusations, etc., doesn't count for anything. Positive, negative, part of the problem, solution, whatever. Me, I want to see what happens at the next two meetings and what Gural does and handles the CAW situation-----if he does-----even though it will not bring about a substantial increase in handle.
Those are 2 reasons there will be a casino in Northern N J. As soon as NJ sees all the jersey license plates at Aqueduct casino the ball will start rolling.
Saturday 3/15 handle $3,067,55911 out of 21 cards handling over $3 million $513,048 below break even point